Teen vaping “one way bridge” to future smoking

Teen vapers may become “desensitized” to cigarette smoking health risks

Teen vaping acts as a “one way bridge” to future smoking among those who have never smoked before, and may not stop those who have smoked before from returning to it, University of Michigan researchers conclude. These findings were published online in the journal Tobacco Control.

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The researchers, from U-M’s Monitoring the Future survey out of the Institute for Social Research, base their findings on a follow-up sample of 347 out of 822 originally targeted 12th graders (17-18 year olds), who had been randomly selected in 2014 from more than 13,000 students across 122 schools.

The 2014 survey and its follow-up one year later in 2015 asked the teens about substance use, including vaping and conventional cigarette smoking.

Analysis of the responses showed that e-cigarettes were among the most popular substances that the teens said they used, and the prevalence of recent vaping (within the past 30 days) was around 50% higher than it was for conventional smoking.

Most of the respondents thought that cigarette smoking was harmful, with 80% in both the 2014 and follow-up surveys feeling that one or more packs daily packs posed a ‘great risk.’

Teens who had never smoked a cigarette before reaching 12th grade, but who had used an e-cigarette at least once within the past 30 days, were more than four times as likely to say that they had smoked a cigarette by the follow-up survey (31%) as those who hadn’t vaped (7%).

All the new smokers who were also recent vapers said they had smoked only ‘once or twice’ during the preceding 12 months.

This difference between vapers and non-vapers held true even after accounting for potentially influential factors, such as sex, ethnicity, and their parents’ educational attainment.

For those who had ever smoked by the time of the 2014 survey, the prevalence of smoking during the preceding 12 months was more than twice as high among teens who were also vapers in 2014 (80%) than it was among those who weren’t (37%).

Vaping also significantly predicted cigarette smoking in the preceding 12 months at the follow-up survey among teens who had smoked at some point previously, but not recently (63% vs 27%), even among those who felt that smoking was very harmful.

And among teens who said they had never smoked by the time of the 2014 survey, recent vapers were four times as likely to move away from the belief that cigarette smoking poses a great risk as those who hadn’t vaped, possibly because they become desensitized to the harms of smoking, suggest the researchers.

This is an observational study so no firm conclusions can be drawn about cause and effect, added to which the researchers point to several caveats.

The analysis did not take account of the substances in the e-cigarettes the teens vaped, nor the different frequencies of vaping at the time of the 2014 survey. The number of responses to the follow-up survey was relatively small, which may have introduced some element of bias, while other factors associated with susceptibility to smoking take-up among teens, such as rebelliousness and the influence of friends, were not included.

But the researchers say the results contribute to the growing body of evidence for vaping as a “one way bridge” to cigarette smoking teens. “These results bolster findings for vaping as a one way bridge to cigarette smoking among adolescents,” they write.

“The results support a desensitization process, whereby youth who vape lower their perceived risk of cigarette smoking,” they add.

Contact

Kory Zhao, koryzhao@umich.edu, 734-647-9069

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